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A POSSIBLE LIBERAL PLAN FOR 2017

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MY CANADA… THE NATION’S 2015 ELECTION SITUATION

There isn’t much use for social media users to comment on the upcoming federal election. Readers and participant will be treated to many vicious attack ads by the Harper CPC, less nice homey ads telling voters Mulcair’s NDP are catering to the middle class with social programs and strengthened already in force social programs such as pensions and healthcare coverage. The Liberal former political powerhouse before being decimated by scandal offers a charismatic young leader with a less than attractive platform to date. So what can be said that every political analyst, major media journalist or party sanctioned political science university professor will be repeating and repeating?

It seems many political commentators on the major media consortium currently trying to find enough partisan ground to convince PM Stephen Harper to participate in a nationwide political debate are reluctant to miff the Conservative power base. The fear might not be evident but the need for almost every journalist to tread lightly when dealing with the Harper political juggernaught is reflected in the reluctance of most to side with the opposition. Indications seem to be if the Harper Conservatives are re-elected journalists opposing the party will be completely controlled and denied access unless government friendly to most public documents and forums.  Such an outcome based on the current CPC methodology could in effect cripple the media and destroy the sometimes high paying careers of some journalists and analysts. Maybe the threat is enough of an incentive to tread carefully while criticizing the current government practices.

The New Democrat recent surge in the polls is a little mysterious when the pollsters keep recording record high public acceptance of the CPC with the Liberals and NDP vying for enough voter acceptance to force Harper into minority government status. Could it be the pollsters are also in a predicament similar to the journalists and analyst, fear retribution if a Harper CPC majority does occur? Polling manipulation is not beyond the realm of possibility when watching recent political management used to retain and increase the power of government.

Justin Trudeau led Liberals are thus far a strange item on the political landscape. Soft on releasing a dynamic party platform some have the feeling Trudeau and the Liberals might be content to retain third party status with enough votes to create a minority government in the 2015 election. Canadian minority governments are not prone to lasting indefinitely meaning another vote with a weakened CPC and NDP and altogether new priorities would likely be on the horizon within two to three years. A young man Justin Trudeau would be a strong contender in that election with the experience gained and ability to solidify the party while taking advantage of problems facing the other parties. The Harper led CPC would undoubtedly still try to impose absolute power of the party on all Canadians while Mulcair’s NDP would need to move closer to the traditional Liberal center of left position alienating many traditional more social program bent NDP supporters. Liberals would then likely lead solidly in all the polls similar to the numbers reflected when Justin Trudeau first became Liberal leader.

This year’s Canadian federal election campaign and outcome will almost certainly be history making forging a different future for the country unless the current world crisis over the Middle East and need to control the ISIS changes everything. This is especially true if Harper joins the Americans and other NATO allies deploying ground forces to the region. Where such action would lead is anybody’s guess.

 

 

 


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